Best and worst allocators of capital
Which companies stand out when it comes to putting their money to work?
Mentioned: AMP Ltd (AMP), Ansell Ltd (ANN), Brickworks Ltd (BKW), Fletcher Building Ltd (FBU), Healius Ltd (HLS), Qantas Airways Ltd (QAN), Seven West Media Ltd (SWM), TPG Telecom Ltd (TPG), Woolworths Group Ltd (WOW)
It’s been a turbulent couple of weeks for Australian company management. First, David Teoh stunned the market by announcing he was stepping away from the telco he co-founded, TPG. Then, after a week of trying to hose down speculation he was leaving, AMP chief Francesco De Ferrari finally announced this week his exit from the embattled wealth manager after joining in 2018.
Assessing company leadership is a key part of Morningstar ratings. Up until December last year, this criterion used to be known as “stewardship”. It was rated either poor, standard, or exemplary. The three levels remain but the term stewardship has been changed to “capital allocation”. The change aims to ensure the focus is on assessing management efficacy. It also avoids confusion with environmental, social, and governance factors to be captured through Sustainalytics company-level ratings for Morningstar coverage.
A capital allocation rating depends on three key items: balance sheet health, investment efficacy, and shareholder distributions. In other words, how do managers use the money/capital they have at their disposal to create value for shareholders—the owners of the company?
“These three drivers are assessed on a forward-looking basis to establish an overall capital allocation rating,” says Morningstar director Mathew Hodge. “We assess capital allocation on a forward-looking basis, over a full economic cycle of about 10 years. History may help inform our expectations, but analysts evaluate balance sheet, investment, and shareholder distributions on what we think is likely to happen in future, rather than the past.”
TPG (ASX: TPG) and AMP (ASX: AMP) both have a standard rating for capital allocation—although that could change. Currently 20 companies under Morningstar coverage carry a rating of exemplary. Woolworths (ASX: WOW) and Ansell (ASX: ANN) stand out because they have a narrow moat—or ten-year competitive advantage—as well as a low uncertainty rating. Over ten years, Woolworths has posted an annualised return of 6.84 per cent; Ansell has posted 12.70 per cent.
“Ansell has demonstrated good capital allocation skills and has successfully integrated 90 per cent of its acquisitions,” says Morningstar analyst Mark Taylor. “The company has balance sheet capacity for acquisitions and share buybacks, both of which can enhance the earnings per share growth forecasts.”
As for Woolworths, the supermarket giant’s first-class management suggests its sector dominance is secure, says Morningstar analyst Johannes Faul. “Its operating leverage could lead to a rebound in operating margins, driving cash generation that funds expansion and acquisitions while allowing capital-management initiatives.”
At the other end of the capital allocation spectrum, nine companies have a poor rating. Among them are Fletcher Building (ASX: FBU), Brickworks (ASX: BKW), Healius (ASX: HLS), Seven West Media (ASX: SWM) and Qantas (ASX: QAN).
Capital allocation – the top and bottom of the class
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