Insights from reporting season: So far, so good
We’ve upgraded our fair value estimate for 29 companies, or 40% of those that have reported thus far.
We’re almost halfway through February 2025 reporting season. We cover almost 180 stocks set to report this month, and 73 results are out as of Wednesday 19th. There’s still a way to go, but we’re beginning to get a handle on how Australia’s biggest companies—and by extension, the broader economy—fared in the latter part of 2024.
We’ve upgraded our fair value estimate for 29 companies, or 40% of those that have reported thus far. The average upgrade has been 5%. We’ve left our fair value estimate unchanged for 41 companies and made only three fair value downgrades.
I’d call this a positive start, but with the caveat that half our coverage is yet to report. Our take is at odds with the market reaction – the benchmark ASX 200 is off around 2% since the start of Feb – but perhaps this reflects extended market valuations and the danger of high expectations.
This week, we offer our big takeaways from the first leg of reporting season. We’ll touch on a range of sectors, including retail, the big banks, and an unloved – and in our view, undervalued – corner of the real estate market.
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