This week’s Chart of the Week comes from Market Strategist Lochlan Halloway’s evaluation on the effect of Trump’s tariffs on the Australian economy.

australia trade partners chart of the week

After Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs we outlined that Australia’s direct economic exposure was modest. In 2023, the US was Australia’s sixth-largest goods export market, accounting for AUD 22 billion, about 4% of total goods exports.

However, Australia is a small, open economy, and global economic growth matters. In particular, the Chinese economy matters. Trump’s rollback did not include China and as tariff’s escalated through rounds of retaliation the pictuce for China is more unsettled than immediately after ‘liberation’ day.

How this situaiton plays out is the big swing factor. This includes if China chooses to stimulate, the nature of the stimulus, and its magnitude.

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