30 undervalued US stocks – part 2
Morningstar analaysts name the most undervalued shares on US markets.
Mentioned: American International Group Inc (AIG), Applied Materials Inc (AMAT), Baidu Inc ADR (BIDU), Capital One Financial Corp (COF), CVS Health Corp (CVS), Dominion Energy Inc (D), Edison International (EIX), Macerich Co (MAC), Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP), McKesson Corp (MCK), WESCO International Inc (WCC), XPO Inc (XPO)
In part one we explored undervalued stocks across the basic materials, communications services and energy sectors that feature among our analysts' best ideas.
Now we delve into several more.
Financial Services
In the financial-services sector, we're seeing the most value among banks, with about half of the names we cover trading in 4- and 5-star range, notes sector director Michael Wong in his review. "Compared with the previous quarter, we no longer see favourable risk-adjusted returns for asset managers," adds Wong. "There's 10 per cent upside to the median price/fair value estimate of our asset management coverage after our coverage appreciated 11 per cent in the previous three months."
Top picks in the financial services sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amercian International Group | AIG | 46.19 | 76.00 | 39 | Medium | None |
Capital One Financial | COF | 87.83 | 119.00 | 26 | Medium | Narrow |
Credit Suisse Group | CS | 12.84 | 20.00 | 36 | High | Narrow |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019
Healthcare
The healthcare sector was fairly valued at the end of the first quarter, trading just 1 per cent below our fair value estimate. Not surprisingly, there are few buys: Only 4 per cent of our healthcare coverage universe is rated 5 stars, notes sector director Damien Conover in his update. Most of the 4- and 5-star names are drug manufacturers or healthcare providers. "In drug manufacturing, we believe the market is still ascribing too much valuation pressure on the industry due to potential negative drug pricing regulations," adds Conover.
Top picks in the healthcare sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayer | BAYRY | 17.24 | 31.00 | 44 | High | Wide |
CVS Health | CVS | 52.81 | 92.00 | 43 | Medium | Narrow |
McKesson Corp | MCK | 116.05 | 130.00 | 11 | Medium | Wide |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019
Industrials
The industrials sector was trading at a slight 3 per cent discount to our fair value estimate as of quarter-end, up from a 15 per cent discount at the end of 2018, notes sector director Keith Schoonmaker in his quarterly review. The team is seeing upside in industrial distribution and logistics. "We expect distributors will leverage their selling, general, and administrative expenses to drive year-over-year operating margin improvements," he says. Moreover, most truckers are unlikely to match their rate gains in 2018, which has opened up opportunity as market valuations have corrected.
Top picks in the industrial sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anixter International | AXE | 60.73 | 98.00 | 8 | Medium | Narrow |
WESCO International | WCC | 55.66 | 88.00 | 37 | Medium | Narrow |
XPO Logistics | XPO | 61.00 | 63.19 | 3 | High | None |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019
Real Estate
Real estate is among the most fairly valued sectors today, with the average stock in our coverage universe trading at a 4 per cent premium to our fair value estimate, says analyst Kevin Brown in his update. "Considering most of the names fall in the 3-star range, we see only a few attractively priced real estate companies and none trading at 5 stars," he notes.
Top picks in the real estate sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Macerich Co | MAC | 43.52 | 57.00 | 24 | High | Narrow |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019
Technology
Tech stocks snapped back in the first quarter after a dismal stretch in late 2018. As a result, the average tech stock in our coverage universe trades at just a 2 per cent discount to fair value, says sector director Brian Colello in his latest update. "Despite the recent rally in tech and in semiconductors specifically, we still think semis are the most undervalued subsector in technology, as about 30 per cent of our coverage is 4-star-rated or higher and the median chip stock is about 4 per cent below our fair value estimate," he notes. The team also thinks online media is an attractive segment.
Top picks in the technology sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Applied Materials | AMAT | 42.99 | 49.00 | 12 | High | Wide |
Baidu | BIDU | 173.09 | 262.00 | 34 | High | Wide |
Microchip Technology | MCHP | 95.36 | 112.00 | 15 | Medium | Wide |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019
Utilities
Trading at a 10 per cent premium to our fair value estimate, the utilities sector is overpriced. Moreover, dividend yields remain near decade lows, points out sector strategist Travis Miller in his quarterly update. "For income investors, utilities' dividends have rarely looked so attractive," argues Miller. "U.S. utilities' 3.4 per cent average yield is 90 basis points above the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield as of late March, a reliable buy signal." Further, we think these dividends are well-covered and set to grow more than 5 per cent annually in the next three to five years, with some boasting dividend growth of 10 per cent or more.
Top picks in the utilities sector
Company | Ticker | Last close $ | Fair Value $ | Discount % | Fair Value Uncertainty | Economic Moat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominion Energy | D | 76.44 | 84.00 | 9 | Low | Wide |
Edison International | EIX | 67.13 | 68.00 | 1 | Medium | Narrow |
Source: Morningstar Data as of April 15, 2019